Country risk profile
Marshall Islands
- ISO
- MHL
- Region
- Oceania
- Population
- 42K
- Profile
- updated 9 Oct 2026, 06:02 UTC
Composite risk
100/100
SevereAssessment summary
The published severe-risk rating is led by Sanctions and Economic Fragility, based on 5 of 7 risk groups.
At-a-glance evidence
Risk ratings and primary indicators
Ratings apply published thresholds to each source value. Low means the observed value is below elevated-risk thresholds; no data means no verified observation.
Primary source indicators
Full evidence and limitations ↓Governance
Moderate58.9 / 100
Higher means stronger governance
Corruption perception
No dataUnavailable
Higher means cleaner public sector
Humanitarian risk
Moderate3.6 / 10
Higher means greater crisis risk
Listed labour-risk goods
Low0 goods
Count of listed country-good observations
Sanctions designations
Severe138 recorded
Recorded designations, not unique subjects
Violent-event intensity
No rollupUnavailable
Higher means greater reported intensity
FATF status
LowNot listed
Published jurisdiction list status
State fragility
No dataUnavailable
Higher means greater fragility
Press freedom
No dataUnavailable
Higher means greater press freedom
Environmental performance
High42.5 / 100
Higher means better performance
Published score inputs
What drives the score
01Sanctionssevere 3 / 3
- extensive sanctions exposure (138 designations, 3253/M pop.)
02Economic Fragilitysevere 3 / 3
- OECD country risk category 7/7 — highest risk (OECD CRC 2026)
03Labour & Human Rightshigh 2 / 3
- weak labour rights ratification (3/8 legacy ILO conventions, ILO NORMLEX 2026)
Calculation and all contributing groups
Group total 11 ÷ 5 available groups. Base 73.3 → published 100/100.
- Governance
- moderate · 1/3
- Labour & Human Rights
- high · 2/3
- Sanctions
- severe · 3/3
- Economic Fragility
- severe · 3/3
- Environmental
- high · 2/3
Published assessment rationale
Severe risk driven by Sanctions (severe — extensive sanctions exposure (138 designations, 3253/M pop.)), Economic Fragility (severe — OECD country risk category 7/7 — highest risk (OECD CRC 2026)), Labour & Human Rights (high — weak labour rights ratification (3/8 legacy ILO conventions, ILO NORMLEX 2026)), Environmental (high — poor environmental performance (EPI 43/100, Yale 2024)), and Governance (moderate — below-average governance score (58.9/100, WB WGI 2025)).
Coverage measures available evidence, not certainty. See the exact formula and thresholds.
Marshall Islands narrative assessment
Marshall Islands carries a composite risk score of 100 out of 100 on the [S/1] scorecard, placing it in the severe risk band as of 9 October 2026. The result is based on 5 of 7 indicator groups (substantial evidence coverage); unavailable groups are excluded rather than treated as low risk. It records a World Bank governance score of 58.9 out of 100 (2025, higher is better) and an INFORM crisis-risk index of 3.6 out of 10 (2026, higher is worse). Exposure includes 138 sanctions or debarment designations linked to Marshall Islands within [S/1]'s 18-source configured coverage model, using the source data currently available. The groups driving the assessment are labour & human rights, sanctions, economic fragility and environmental. All figures are drawn from official open-data sources and carry their own publication year. This is a country-level screening input, not an entity-level determination.
Continue the assessment
Apply the country context.
Project assessment uses this profile as regional context. Establish site-specific impacts through project and stakeholder evidence.
Country annex: €29 once · included in Pro.
Indicator evidenceSource values, publication years and links
Published values retain their original units and scale directions. Open each source before using an indicator in a decision.
CORRUPTION · TI CPI
Data not available
Source last ingested: Oct 2026
CHILD / FORCED LABOUR · US DOL
0 GOODS Low
No country-good observation in the current source release. This is not evidence of low supplier risk.
SOURCE: US DOL TVPRA · link ↗
SANCTIONS · 18 CONFIGURED SOURCES
138 DESIGNATIONSSevere
Selected lists: EU 1 · OFAC 136 · UN 1 · UK 0 · SECO 0
A country-level count is a screening signal, not a finding about any specific entity or evidence of national culpability.
VIOLENT EVENTS · GDELT
NO COUNTRY ROLLUP
Insufficient event volume or no mapped observation in the 180-day window.
SOURCE: GDELT · link ↗
FATF STATUS
NOT LISTED Low
Not in the FATF list — not subject to FATF monitoring or call for action
SOURCE: FATF · link ↗
FRAGILE STATES INDEX
Data not available
Source last ingested: Oct 2026
PRESS FREEDOM · RSF
Data not available
Source last ingested: Oct 2026
ENV. PERFORMANCE · YALE EPI
42.5/100High
Yale Environmental Performance Index — higher = better
SOURCE: Yale EPI · 2024 · link ↗
CLIMATE RISK · ND-GAIN
Data not available
Source last ingested: Oct 2026
LABOUR RIGHTS · ILO NORMLEX
3/8High
Legacy eight-convention ratification aggregate. C155 and C187 are excluded; ratification does not establish enforcement or project practice.
SOURCE: ILO NORMLEX · 2026 · link ↗
CHILD LABOUR · ILO ILOSTAT
Data not available
Source last ingested: Oct 2026
POLITICAL FREEDOM · FREEDOM HOUSE
Data not available
Source last ingested: —
Additional inputs
- War events · 180-day GDELT
- No country observation
- OECD country risk category
- 7/72026 · Source ↗
- IMF programme severity
- No country observation
- Trade circumvention signal
- No country observation
- EU forced-labour product groups
- No country observation
- PM2.5 annual mean
- No country observation
- Water stress
- No country observation
- Land degradation
- No country observation
- Human development · context only
- 73/1002023 · Source ↗
Source dates and coverageIngestion and publication context
Observation periods, recorded pipeline dates and fallback status are distinct. A recent pipeline date does not verify the observation or establish complete coverage.
Scorecard computed9 Oct 2026, 06:02 UTC
- Governance · WB WGI
- Observation period: 2025
Pipeline date: 1 Oct 2026, 04:02 UTC
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - Corruption · TI CPI
- Observation period: Unknown or not supplied
Pipeline date: 1 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - INFORM Risk · JRC
- Observation period: 2026
Pipeline date: 1 Oct 2026, 04:05 UTC
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - Child / forced labour · US DOL
- Observation period: Unknown or not supplied
Pipeline date: 1 Oct 2026, 04:05 UTC
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - Sanctions · aggregate ingestion marker
- Observation period: Unknown or not supplied
Pipeline date: 9 Oct 2026, 03:01 UTC
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - Violent events · GDELT
- Observation period: Unknown or not supplied
Pipeline date: 9 Oct 2026, 04:36 UTC
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - FATF
- Observation period: Unknown or not supplied
Pipeline date: 1 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - Fragile States Index
- Observation period: Unknown or not supplied
Pipeline date: 1 Oct 2026, 04:06 UTC
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - Press freedom · RSF
- Observation period: Unknown or not supplied
Pipeline date: 1 Oct 2026, 04:06 UTC
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - Environmental performance · Yale
- Observation period: 2024
Pipeline date: 1 Sept 2026, 04:06 UTC
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - Climate risk · ND-GAIN
- Observation period: Unknown or not supplied
Pipeline date: 1 Oct 2026, 04:05 UTC
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - Labour rights · ILO NORMLEX
- Observation period: 2026
Pipeline date: 1 Oct 2026, 04:05 UTC
Legacy eight-convention aggregate; individual convention provenance requires validation. - Child labour · ILOSTAT
- Observation period: Unknown or not supplied
Pipeline date: 1 Oct 2026, 04:05 UTC
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - Political freedom · Freedom House
- Observation period: Unknown or not supplied
Pipeline date: Not recorded
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - Country risk category · OECD
- Observation period: 2026
Pipeline date: 1 Oct 2026, 04:05 UTC
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - Lending programmes · IMF
- Observation period: Unknown or not supplied
Pipeline date: 1 Oct 2026, 04:05 UTC
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - Trade patterns · UN Comtrade
- Observation period: Unknown or not supplied
Pipeline date: 3 Oct 2026, 02:01 UTC
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - Human development · UNDP
- Observation period: 2023
Pipeline date: 1 Oct 2026, 08:06 UTC
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - Forced labour · EU
- Observation period: Unknown or not supplied
Pipeline date: Not recorded
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - Air quality
- Observation period: Unknown or not supplied
Pipeline date: 1 Oct 2026, 04:11 UTC
Fallback status not supplied by this source record. - Water and land · ingestion paused
- Observation period: Unknown or not supplied
Pipeline date: 1 Oct 2026, 04:12 UTC
Historical fallback observations are unverified. UN SDG ingestion is paused pending reuse-term verification.
Sector exposureCountry × sector and commodity signals
Sector Risk Intelligence
Child labour by sector · Conflict minerals · EUDR commodity risk · Forced labour detentions
Published model changes · 12 months
Recent score changes
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These entries record changes in published model outputs. Review the source dates and evidence before relying on a change.
Research and reuseSources, methods and related evidence
Common questions about Marshall Islands risk
What is the overall risk level of Marshall Islands?
Marshall Islands scores 100 out of 100 on the [S/1] composite risk scorecard, which places it in the severe risk band as of 9 October 2026. The result uses 5 of seven indicator groups and has substantial evidence coverage; the unavailable groups are corruption & financial crime and conflict. The composite uses the available scores across seven indicator groups: governance, corruption and financial crime, labour and human rights, conflict, sanctions, economic fragility, and environmental. Groups score 0–3; the available-group average is converted to a base percentage and calibrated using the formula published on the methodology page.
Is Marshall Islands on the FATF grey list?
No. Marshall Islands does not appear on the FATF grey list or black list in the current FATF data [S/1] holds as of 9 October 2026. FATF updates its lists three times per year, so check the current FATF statement before relying on this.
How many sanctions designations are linked to Marshall Islands?
[S/1] records 138 sanctions or debarment designations linked to Marshall Islands within its 18-source configured coverage model, using the source data currently available as of 9 October 2026. These include 136 on the US OFAC SDN list, 1 on the EU consolidated list and 1 on the UN Security Council list. Source availability varies and is published separately. A country-level count is a screening signal, not a finding about any specific entity.
How well governed is Marshall Islands?
Marshall Islands scores 58.9 out of 100 on the World Bank's Worldwide Governance Indicators for 2025, where a higher score is better. The WGI aggregate combines Voice and Accountability, Political Stability, Government Effectiveness, Regulatory Quality, Rule of Law, and Control of Corruption.
Where does the Marshall Islands risk data come from?
The Marshall Islands scorecard aggregates official open-data sources including the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, Transparency International CPI, the European Commission JRC INFORM index, US DOL TVPRA, FATF, the Fragile States Index, RSF, ILO NORMLEX and GDELT, together with an 18-source configured sanctions and debarment coverage model including OFAC, the EU consolidated list, UK FCDO and the UN Security Council. Each indicator carries its own publication year, shown on the page, and current pipeline health is published in the source directory. The scorecard was last generated on 9 October 2026.
From context to decision
What should happen after a country-risk signal?
Country indicators should route diligence, not decide whether a specific supplier is acceptable. Add sector exposure, resolve the legal entity, reconstruct ownership and control, screen connected parties, and verify the facts that matter to the transaction.
Use this evidence in your work
Cite this profile in a briefing or embed a live card in your research portal. Keep the source date and country-level limitations alongside the evidence.
Salient One (2026-10-09). Marshall Islands Country Risk Profile. https://s1.salientone.eu/scorecard/marshall-islands. Country-level context; not an entity determination.